What Are the Real Odds?

Jen Clarke of West London opened four eggs in a row that were all double-yolked. The odds of such a thing happening must be astronomical -or are they?
According to the British Egg Information Service, one in every thousand eggs on average is a double-yolker. They're not sure how they've come to this figure but you would like to think that the British Egg Information Service was able to supply useful information about British Eggs, so let's give them the benefit of the doubt.

So, if the probability of finding an egg with two yolks is 1/1000 - then to find the likelihood of discovering four in a row you simply multiply the probabilities together four times. One thousand to the power of four brings us to the grand total of one trillion - that's the new-school US-style trillion with 12 zeroes.

If true that would mean the event that occurred in Jen's kitchen was a trillion-to-one event. But is it true? No is the short answer.

Many factors can affect these odds, like the possibility that a certain chicken or flock laying several eggs that ended up in one carton, or the sorting of eggs by size. There are other factors as well, explained in this BBC article. Link -via Metafilter

The sorting eggs by size issue is a big one. There are many accounts of most or all of a carton of Jumbo eggs being double yolked, and it makes perfect sense. When you have a farm of densely packed chickens producing thousands upon thousands of eggs, the largest of the batch being those 1/1000 doubles and packed in the same container is not very far-fetched.
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Not a coincidence at all..
Large farms have automated processing lines for eggs. Clean and pack them for shipment. They sort by size too, then sell packs of a dozen for different prices based on size. At least this is true for grocery stores in both LA and San Francisco.

If you want to get a buncha double-yolk eggs, go to the grocery store and buy the largest size eggs. You'll get lots.
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I once had an entire carton of double-yolked eggs.
Some places still "candle" their eggs, meaning that they hold the eggs up in front of a dim light (candles back in the olden days) which clearly shows a double yolk.
So my guess is that the workers did it on purpose.
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I cooked at a restaurant, in Victoria B.C., that received an entire box of 200 eggs that were all double yolked. It kinda grossed me out. (My boss loved it because he sold each yolk as an egg, thereby getting 200 free eggs.)

Seems to me like there is some sort of funky artificial fertilization going on here rather than some random twins.
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We used to get boxes of eggs from our local farm which often contained several double yolked eggs. According to the farmer some chickens are predisposed to laying double yolked eggs. And he reckoned about half his hens regularly layed double yolkers. Maybe it's hereditary? In which case if all the eggs came from the same farm then it wouldn't be so unlikely.
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I've never had a double yolked egg. I don't know if it's just luck of the drawer, that I only buy free range eggs or that Australian chooks don't lay double yolkers
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I knew chicken named Big Bertha who laid eggs with double and triple yolks ALWAYS for the last five years she lived.

By you assumptions this chicken I more rare than there are grains in the universe......

....double yolks are only uncommon for city slickers and people who don't know squat about where their food comes from. This really is one of the most IGNORANT posts I have EVER read on this site. Really stupid.
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In the late sixties I belonged to a food co-op that got eggs from some old guy who lived outside the city. Maybe one third of his eggs were double yolked. I never saw that before that time, nor have I seen them since.
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Brings back memories of my Grandmother who had an "egg man", old Swiss farmer named Mr.Schmidt. His Jumbo eggs were usually double yolk. Seldom see them in a supermarket egg.
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@kitandterl, perhaps you should read the entire post before criticising it as "IGNORANT" and "stupid". You seem to have completely missed the point. The intent of the post was to explain why the odds of having multiple double yolkers in a carton are NOT as astronomical as some people would have you believe.

@Sharyn, I have had double yolkers from free range farms in Australia before. By the way, I hate to be a grammar Nazi, but it's "luck of the draw".
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