Here's an interesting video where a guy applied Pascal's wager [wiki] on global warming. YouTube user johnq5, a science teacher, asked this question: what is the consequence if global warming is false and we spend tons of money trying to prevent a problem that doesn't exist. And what is the consequence if the reverse is true: global warming is real, but we didn't do anything about it.
It's an eloquent argument, but see if you can find the flaw in the logic (no, I'm not arguing that global warming is real or not, just the danger of applying Pascal's wager to a complex situation).
What do you think? Is action preferable than inaction when the cost of inaction is so high, like in the case of global warming? A slam dunk argument? Ask yourself this: how about instead of global warming, it's Soviet nukes or Saddam's WMD.
Hit play or go to Link [YouTube] | Here's another, where he answered criticism and objections of his first video clip: Link [YouTube] - Thanks No One!
Global warming will likely decrease the strength and number of hurricanes. Hurricanes are not caused by high temperatures; they're caused by differences in temperatures. And the consensus is that most warming will occur in the polar regions--that means global temperatures will become more uniform.
Given the best scientific evidence at hand, sounding the alarm is a precautionary measure. A future based on more efficient vehicles, bulbs and appliances -- with sustainable energy sources, new economies and industries -- what's the big fuss? Environmental stewardship is good for our health, our quality of life, our business, our national security, our social stability ... and so on.
Remember what happened during Hurricane Katrina? All the people who were displaced, the lack of basic resources, the violence, death and subsequent police apparatus that was imposed. All that was within the best equipped, most organized democracy on the planet.
Well, if the worst case climate change scenarios come to pass, Katrina will look small in comparison. With a wink and nod, she'll say, "I told ya so."
Please forgive us while we plan for the worst and hope for the best.
The Third World is being told to hate the evil developed countries--especially the U.S.--over something that has not happened, may never happen, and if it does happen, may not be anyone's fault.